
Hello everyone. Hope all is well. The college baseball season has come to an end, but the MLB draft is coming up this Sunday. It is always a fun event to bet on. I was going to type up an entire mock draft, but did not find the time.
Here are my bets. I believe this is shaping up to be a wild draft. Everyone has heard rumors, but everything changes once draft night arrives. Lots of uncertainty across the board, which leaves some value.
I will update leading up to the first pick.
Pick 1: WSH
Kade Anderson +135
0.5u: Ethan Holliday +200
0.25u: Seth Hernandez +2900
With the Nationals firing GM and HC a few weeks ago, I believe they take the safe pick with Kade Anderson. Books agree, but it would not surprise to see a HS name shoot up the odds board tomorrow.
Pick 2: LAA
0.75u: Liam Doyle +400
0.5u: Kade Anderson +240
0.25u: Ethan Holliday +1200
If the Nationals elect to not take Anderson, I believe the Angels will hop on the opportunity. If not, I would take Liam Doyle. Doyle opened +400 here before soaring to a heavy favorite. Holliday is worth a sprinkle. Eli Willits is worth the sprinkle.
Pick 3: SEA
0.25u: Jamie Arnold +700
0.25u: Seth Hernandez +700
0.5u: Any other Player (Bremner, Willits (+250)
The sportsbooks seem to believe SEA will go with Hernandez, as he has soared to become the favorite. I could see them taking Willits, but he is not listed on books. I snagged good value on Hernandez but would not lay at current price. I took Arnold early, but would lay off now. Arquette is worth a look at +170. I would lay the u3.5 option instead.
Pick 4: COL
No bets, likely Holliday if he is still available.
If Holliday is unavailable, Liam Doyle is worth the sprinkle at +1000.
Pick 5: STL
I wish offs would become available for this pick. I am a STL fan, and this is the highest draft pick in a long time for the franchise. For the first time, future GM Chaim Bloom will be in charge of making the selection. Eli Willits fits the STL player profile pretty well. I am sure they are hoping for one of the college LHPs.
Other bets
0.5u each
1u: Devin Taylor u41.5 -110
Ike Irish o8.5 +145
Luke Stevenson u32.5 -110
Wehiwa Aloy o17.5 +130
Marek Houston o15.5 -110
Daniel Pierce o17.5 -110
Kayson Cunningham o20.5 -115
0.25u: Gage Wood > Tyler Bremner +195
0.25u: Brendan Summerhill > Gavin Kilen +250
Max Belyeu > Charles Davalan +150
JB Middleton > Anthony Eyanson +150
Prediction
1.1 Kade Anderson
1.2 Liam Doyle
1.3 Seth Hernandez
1.4 Ethan Holliday
1.5 Eli Willits
1.6 Aiva Arquette
1.7 Jamie Arnold
1.8 Jojo Parker
1.9 Kyson Witherspoon
1.10 Billy Carlson
1.11 Brendan Summerhill
1.12 Steele Hall
1.13 Ike Irish
1.14 Gavin Kilen
1.15 Gavin Fien
1.16 Gage Wood
1.17 Josh Hammond
1.18 Caden Bodine
1.19 Jace LaViolette
1.20 Daniel Pierce
1.21 Wehiwa Aloy
1.22 Tyler Bremner
1.23 Marek Houston
1.24 Jaden Fauske
1.25 Kayson Cunningham
1.26 Kruz Schoolcraft
1.27 Andrew Fischer
1.28 Anthony Eyanson
1.29 Tate Southisene
1.30 Xavier Neyens
1.31 Devin Taylor
My top 10 prospects
Holliday
Doyle
Anderson
Willits
Witherspoon
Hernandez
Arquette
Cunningham
Bremner
Arnold
Prospects I would take before current projected value
Eli Willits
Kyson Witherspoon
Kayson Cunningham
Devin Taylor
Max Belyeu
JB Middleton
Caden Bodine
Steele Hall
Brendan Summerhill
Tyler Bremner
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