Reminder to hit subscribe at the bottom of the page to receive the WordPress upon time of release. My X accounts are WR_Bets & Wes10Rundown. Week 2. Let’s go.

YTD: 14-12 (+0.95u)

Friday – September 5th

Northern Illinois +18.5 -110

• I am not buying the Maryland love. FAU wanted to shoot it out last weekend, but managed to throw 6 INTs in the process. The Terps benefited from positive field position off the turnovers . NIU will take care of the ball better and have a much slower approach.

Saturday – September 6th

Texas -35 -110

• San Jose State looked rough losing outright week one as two touchdown favorites. Central Michigan ran the football at will. CMU was a poor 2-13 on 3rd down and their defense did not register a single sack, but they still snuck out with a road upset. Sark will want to see offensive improvement here. Texas will have their way on the LOS running the ball, but they will want to set Arch up for success here. 52-7 final.

Iowa +3.5 -115

• This game likely comes down to the wire once again. I give Iowa the advantage in the trenches, which sets them up well in this slow-paced environment. Gronowski is an upgrade at QB for Iowa’s standards. His legs could come into playing a huge factor in this game. 17-14 Iowa.

Duke ML +135 (to win 1u)

• I was hoping to get +3.5 at a decent price, but doesn’t appear that will be happening. Illinois isn’t the 11th best team in the country like their ranking suggests. Their roster has plenty of experience needed to navigate the road environment, but I am not sure they really have the talent advantage. Duke is higher on 247 team talent composite rankings, but I wouldn’t put too much stock into that. The Blue Devils started slow last week, but it was week 1 with a new QB under center. Darian Mensah can play. Duke paid him the $$ to deliver in games like this. Manny Diaz’s pass rush is where I like Duke in this matchup. He is going to blitz Altmyer often, which could force him into a mistake or two. I believe the pace of play in this game will be slow. Illinois will want to run the football and control the game from start to finish. However, both QBs have the ability to turn it into a shootout if the passing attacks open up.

Pittsburgh -21 -115

• This number has since disappeared, but I am fine with a 0.5u play at -21.5. CMU did pull off the upset last week, but really did nothing special. Neither team was very good. Pittsburgh should dominate in the trenches here. The Panthers were still tossing the rock around while up 54-9 vs Duquesne in week 1. Hopefully they do not get to looking ahead to the Backyard Brawl next week and allow a backdoor cover late in the 4th.

Missouri -6 -110

• Kansas has the QB advantage, but I believe this is a step up for them. Daniels has the Jayhawks looking good against two lesser opponents. Drink is 21-2 SU as a home favorite. The Zou will be up and rocking for the Border War. Missouri’s offense clicked last week, but it was against Central Arkansas. 31-20 Mizzou.

Bowling Green +21.5 -110

• MAC’s performed well in week one in games with low totals against these large spreads. Cincy will bounce back for a win here, but BG’s style of play should be able to keep it within 3 possessions. Update: +22.5 available. Not a huge difference.

UAB / Navy o58.5 -110

• Both offenses racked up 500+ yards of offense in week one against lesser opponents. UAB’s defense is atrocious. Navy will run the ball and score at will. UAB’s offense should be able to keep it within hold. Navy 45-24.

Miami (OH) / Rutgers u47.5 -110

• Miami’s offense was shut out last week. Granted it was Wisconsin’s defense, but the offense looked rough: 1.5 YPC, 0/9 3rd down, 117 total yards, 5 plays ran in opens territory. Rutgers survived a week one scare from a good Ohio offense. I bet they will look to avoid the shootout scenario any way possible. Look for Rutgers to force a few turnovers here. Both teams were towards the bottom in seconds per play in the first game.

Colorado -23.5 -110

• Colorado will look to bounce back after a close week one loss at home to Georgia Tech. The Buffs will look to improve against the run, as they allowed 320 rushing yards to GT. This is the first FBS vs FBS game for Delaware. 247 team talent composite has them as the second to the bottom at 133. FCS Delaware State had success on the ground last week, rushing for over 200 yards. I believe Colorado can really build some momentum here with a blowout win. Deion has already stated that he intends to play 5 star Freshman QB, Juju Lewis, so that tells me he is likely still dropping back with a big lead to see what the kid has in game action. Colorado 48-10

West Virginia / Ohio o59.5 -110

• Rich Rod’s offense has arrived back in Morgantown as they rushed for over 400 yards in a blowout week one win. His fast tempo no-huddle system should invite the opportunity for points. Ohio QB, Parker Navarro, is a dangerous dual-threat QB. He led a come back last week against a good Rutgers defense after being down 17. Navarro had the 3rd most rushing + passing yards among QBs in 2024. 34-28 WVU.

Wisconsin -27 -110

• This number has disappeared but it may be bought back before kickoff. Wisconsin will be without their starting QB, but I doubt it matters. MTSU is a bottom 5 FBS team. The Blue Raiders were embarrassed at home by FCS Austin Peay last weekend. MTSU managed to only account for 153 yards of total offense. They went 0-12 on 3rd down attempts and allowed 5 sacks to a FCS D-Line. Wisconsin defensive front will have a field day and they will be able to run the ball at will. Can they score 28+? They didn’t against Miami (OH), but the RedHawks are a lot better than MTSU’s unit. The Badgers do travel to Tuscaloosa next weekend so hopefully they do not allow a backdoor.

Arkansas State / Arkansas o62.5 -110

• Both teams handled business against lesser opponents in week one. Arkansas State defense will have no answer for Taylen Green and the Arky skill group. The Red Wolves had success with their passing attack in week one. The offensive line kept h thee pocket clean which helped account for multiple downfield plays as well as a 0.0 Turnover-Worthy Play %. Arkansas will grab the lead here, but Ark State will have the offense to keep enough points on the board.

Kansas State -16.5 -115

• This spread is starting to tick back under the 17 number. This is the perfect opportunity for Kansas State to get right. After a bad showing in Ireland, the Wildcats barely snuck out a win against FCS North Dakota last weekend. RB Dylan Edwards is making progress, but likely sits this game. I still believe K-State’s defensive front is good. If they come to play, Army will have trouble. Army is down this year. 247 has the rated as the last team in the country according to the team talent composite rankings. Tarleton State is a good FCS team, but they would not have sniffed Army’s team from the last few seasons. Army QB Dewayne Coleman will be active, but he was banged up in week one. K-State rolls here and shows life before traveling to Arizona next weekend. 45-17 final.

Mississippi State +7 -110

0.5u: Mississippi State ML +210

• Arizona’s State offense looked one-dimensional at times in week one. Jordan Tyson was targeted 17 times on Leavitt’s 39 attempts. He finished with 141 yards and two TDs. Tyson is one of the country’s top receivers, but was ASU’s only receiving threat against a Northern Arizona team. You can bet on Miss State game planning to limit Leavitt’s reliance on Tyson any way possible. Miss State’s offense found the groove in the second half against Southern Miss and started to pull away on the road. Blake Shapen looked sharp, tossing for over 250. State’s offense moves at a fast pace, which could lead to a high scoring game Saturday night. I was originally on the over, which caused me to miss the best number for Miss State. Still like the over, and I still may play it if the number comes down before kick. Jeff Lebby has the opportunity to give State fans a little optimism (for the first time in a little while) before SEC play kicks off.

Michigan / Oklahoma u49.5 -104

• This is a boosted play. Most books will offer this as the game of the week so use your profit boosts if available! Bryce Underwood looked good against New Mexico, but now he will prepare for his first road college game, @ Oklahoma. This will be a huge test, as the atmosphere will be as rowdy as they come. Mateer is legit at QB. I do not think OU showed much last week. Underwood shows some life, but makes a few mistakes. OU wins 23-17.

Michigan State ML -140

• This line has also disappeared, but I am fine with laying the points or finding another team to pair the money line with. (Toledo, Ole Miss, Tulane would be my favorites). Revenge spot from last year for Sparty as BC escaped late with a win. I like Jonathan Smith’s offensive scheme and believe in a Aiden Chiles improvement year.

UCLA / UNLV o53.5 -105

• UCLA should find more success against a UNLV defense that was just torched by FCS Idaho State two weeks ago. Nico showed some flashes especially on his feet, but UCLA was severely outmatched by Utah. The defense had major problems as they didn’t stop Devon Dampier all night. UCLA was dominated, but they find slightly more success this week. UNLV has hung 38 points in both games against bad defenses. UNLV has a good duel threat QB, which UCLA looked terrible against. UCLA wins a close one 31-27.

Stanford +18.5 -110

• Three possession spread with a low total. Stanford is bad, but have been given two weeks of preparation for this matchup. They were also on the island, where teams have struggled. BYU is led by dynamic freshman QB, Bear Bachmeier. BYU will win this game, but I am betting on Stanford having a better performance with extra preparation. Update: Line moved against me here. I am seeing Stanford +20.5 available. I would wait to see if it cracks 21.

Washington State ML -110

• Line has crashed down in San Diego State’s favor due to WSU’s performance against Idaho. Idaho is a good FCS team that gave Oregon a fit in week 1 last season. My numbers have it as an overreaction. I will take the Cougars at home.

Will update with any additions. Lean Duke, but waiting for a better price on the +3.5. I missed my number for the UVA / NC State under. Texas A&M and Indiana should cover their large spread.

Tennessee / ETSU should have plenty of tempo, but the weather is nasty. I was waiting on the over, but will lay off.

Strong lean to UNC -13.5. Charlotte is bad and I think Bill figures it out this week. May add.

Lean UVA. Not sold on NC State

Lean Ole Miss, but staying away. Stoops can cause problems as a home underdog with good defense and slow pace. OM offensive splits are better at home. First road game for QB.

Full Card

Friday – NIU +18.5 ✅

Texas -35 ❌

Iowa +3.5 ✅

Pittsburgh -21 ✅

Duke ML +135 (0.74u) ❌

Missouri -6 ✅

Bowling Green +21.5 ✅

UAB / Navy o58.5 ✅

Rutgers / Miami (OH) u47.5 ❌

Colorado -23.5 ✅

WVU / Ohio o59.5 ❌

Wisconsin -27 ✅

Arkansas State / Arkansas o62.5 ✅

Kansas State -16.5 ❌

Michigan / Oklahoma u49.5 (boost) ✅

Michigan State ML -140 ✅

Mississippi State +7 ✅

Mississippi State ML +210 (0.5u) ✅

UNLV / UCLA o53.5 ❌

Stanford +18.5 ❌

Washington State ML ✅

14-7 (+7.21u)

Don’s Corner

Drop him a follow.

Week 2

Virginia +3

Iowa +3.5

Duke +3.5

Texas -35

Indiana -34.5

Rutgers -14

Kansas / Missouri o50.5

Fresno State +3.5

Colorado -23.5

Ole Miss -8.5 (4u)

Houston / Rice o39

Michigan State -2.5 (4u)

Arizona State -6.5

Stanford / BYU o45.5