1-1 split last night. I rarely ever place teams on a “banned list” but Clemson may have found themselves on it. One of the worst defensive teams I have seen this year.

Go Vols tonight in the Sweet 16 against Iowa State.

Let’s have a Friday on the diamond.

3/27 Plays

*Card is final

Louisville -130 ❌

• Wyatt Danilowicz is fresh off a dominant start against UNC where he struck out 11 over 7 shutout innings. Pittsburgh’s lineup can hit, and Louisville’s bullpen worries me. However, I believe Louisville’s lineup will also hit Pittsburgh’s pitching. Cards with the advantage on the mound at home.

Michigan +105 ❌

• Kurt Barr likely gets the ball after a dominant start last weekend against Nebraska. Barr struck out 10 across 7 shutout innings and has only allowed over 3 ERs in one start this season. Michigan’s lineup carries a 89 wRC+, which isn’t great. However, Rutgers pitching should be a much better matchup compared to UCLA and Nebraska.

1.5u: USC + UCLA + Southern Miss -104 CZR ✅

• All 3 should be able to handle business today. UCLA and USC are on the road, but carry a large advantage.

Auburn ML -145 ❌

• I give Auburn’s lineup the edge here. Jake Marciano has been fantastic, owning a 1.00 ERA, 1.13 SIERA, and a 38.1 K%. Tyler Fay found it for Alabama last week as he tossed 132 pitches in a no-hitter against Florida. However, I do not see him replicating that performance here.

Charlotte -115 ✅

• The Bulls are off to a 21-4 start to the season. However, USF has not played a game outside of the state of Florida. Charlotte has the slight advantage in team wRC+ and SIERA. Charlotte’s Eddie Copper has been one of the best Friday arms in the ACC, positing a 2.61 ERA with a 31.7% K%.

UGA + FSU + Nebraska +134 B365 (risk 1u) ✅

• I like all 3 to win at home today. Clear pitching advantages and superior lineups.

Florida / Arkansas u11.5 -120 B365 ❌

• Both offenses have shown to be up and down throughout this season. Liam Peterson vs Gabe Gaeckle

Wake Forest + Texas A&M -122 B365 ✅

• After starting the season hot, Cal has lost 8 consecutive games. They will be traveling across the country to face a solid Wake Forest team that has dropped b2b ACC series. Cam Bagwell will get the Friday start after Blake Morningstar has struggled. Texas A&M is seeking revenge after Missouri ruined their chances of making the tournament last season. Aggies are 2-6 in SEC play and need a SEC win.

UC Irvine / LBSU u11.5 -120 B365 ❌

• These two offenses have struggled. Neither team has a wRC+ over 90. Pitcher-friendly ballpark

Cal State Fullerton / Hawaii u9 -115 ✅

• Two offenses that have struggled. Both teams feature an above average Friday starter.

Missouri State / DBU o13 -115 ❌

• Two high powered offenses in a hitter-friendly ballpark. I would also lean Missouri State ML

Virginia Tech -115 ❌

• Terrible spot for Stanford with the 1:00 ET first pitch.

Purdue / Michigan St o10 -115 ❌

• Purdue overs have been cashing well to this point. This total just feels low with how well they have hit the baseball. Neither starter has impressed me enough to justify this number.

San Diego St / Grand Canyon u12 -115 CZR 🔘

• Rohan Lettow has been excellent for the Aztecs on Friday. JT Guerrero will get the ball for GC. Neither team features a high-powered offense.

TCU -125 ✅

• I will give the Frogs another chance here with the advantage on the mound. Texas Tech’s lineup is a force, but I believe Mason Brassfield should bounce back after being chased out in the second inning last weekend against UCF.

1.25u: OK State + Oregon St +105 ✅

• Dax Whitney day for the Beavs. Long road trip for Mercer. I like OK State to bounce back after a tough loss last night. Hudson Barrett should be in line to get the ball. He was on a pitch count in his return last week, but should be extended here.

Kansas / Cincinnati o8.5 -130 FD ❌

• This number just seems low. Cincinnati has a wRC+ of 128. Kansas has a wRC+ of 109 and has averaged over 10 runs a game over their last 8. Two pitchers with good numbers, but Rahe (Kansas) has not gone over 3.1 IP yet this season.

Kentucky +172 FD (to win 1u) ✅

• LSU may get back on track this weekend, but I could not resist the value in Kentucky here. I do not believe LSU should be this big of a favorite. Kentucky causes lots of problems for opposing teams on the base paths. Jaxon Jelkin has been solid on the mound. I will take a stab here.

Wright St + Ball St -117 B365 ✅

• Forgot to add this one

9-9-1 (-1.01u)

Pick 3:

Missouri St / DBU o13

USC / UCLA / Nebraska

Michigan