1-0 last night. Let’s repeat the results from last Friday.
4/10 Plays
- Card in final. Good luck
Texas -115 ❌
- Texas will be without Adrian Rodriguez for a while, but this lineup still has tons of pop from the right side. Carson Tinney, Casey Borba, Aiden Robbins. Shane Sdao will go for Texas A&M. He has allowed 4+ ER in all of his SEC starts. I expect Ruger Riojas to bounce back after getting roughed up last week at SC. He is one of the most experienced starters in the SEC. The atmosphere and rivalry should not phase him.
WVU -145 ✅
- I am not sold on TTU. WVU’s offense can match TTU’s pop. Dawson Montesa has pitched better than his ERA shows. He owns a 2.92 SIERA. Tech’s pitching is their weak point and I expect WVU to bounce back after a home series loss to UCF last weekend.
1.5u: UCSB + Oregon St + USC -130 ❌
- Flora, Whitney, Edwards. Sign me up.
Arizona St + Michigan -101 CZR ❌
- Kurt Barr has been solid for Michigan. Wolverines are playing good ball after taking last weekend’s series against Oregon. Cole Carlon has been great for Arizona State. Overbay will likely be in relief. Utah has bullpen issues.
Coastal -160 ✅
- Arkansas State has regressed since taking the opening Sun Belt series against USM. They have dropped series to Georgia State and Troy. Coastal is better than both of them.
1.25u: Virginia -115 ✅
- Notre Dame is holding Radel for tomorrow. I make this UVA -150.
Indiana -115 ✅
- Maryland has yet to win a B10 series this season. Indiana is 13-19, but has played a much tougher schedule. Neubeck is IU’s best arm. Maryland doesn’t have much on the mound. Ball flies here though so Hoosiers bats will have to travel.
Wake +130 CZR ❌
- Chris Levonas has been one of the best arms in the ACC. I give Wake the pitching advantage since Miami is holding Ciscar for Sunday’s.
Ole Miss -115 ✅
- LSU has performed better against RHP. Curiel and Brown are both LHH. Hunter Elliot is an experienced LHP that has years of experience. Ole Miss bullpen has been one of the best in college baseball. Swayze will be electric.
Arkansas +102 FD ✅
- Do or die for the Hogs this weekend. They removed Gabe Gaeckle from the rotation. He has proven to be a much better bullpen piece than front-line starter. Hunter Dietz will get the ball on Friday. Tyler Fay has been great for Bama, but I expect Arkansas to show life this weekend.
0.5u: Florida State +200 FD ❌
- Too large of a number. GT’s pitching falls off after McKee. FSU will have Beard going. Both teams used their main bullpen pieces last night. Would lean over but I’ll take the value with FSU.
Florida +150 (risk 1u) ✅
- Sully finally moved Aiden King into the Friday role. King has followed up a stellar Freshman season with an exceptional Sophomore year. Blake Cyr is a full go. Brendan Lawson is expected to return. Georgia is a good team at home, but I have number closer to +115.
SDSU / New Mexico o11.5 -111 FD ❌
- The ball flies in Albuquerque. Both teams are throwing solid starters, but sometimes there isn’t much they can do. I would play this up to 13.5.
Kansas +108 FD ✅
- UCF has been playing well, however they are likely without two starting arms this weekend. Mateo Gray has been their main bullpen piece, and will slide into the Friday role. I like Kansas this weekend. I would also lean over.
Liberty / Jacksonville State u10.5 -113 FD ❌
- Ben Blair vs Eli Pillsbury. Perhaps the two best SP in the CUSA. MTSU roughed up Pillsbury last weekend, but I expect a bounce back. Would play this to 9 & lean Liberty ML as well.
Maryland / Indiana o12 -115 ✅
- See reasoning above. Wind blowing out and ball flies at Bob Turtle Smith Stadium.
Clemson +190 FD (to win 1u) ✅
- Clemson has burned me but I have this number much lower. I am not as high on DeCaro. Aiden Knaak has had some bad luck. His SIERA is 2.17. Clemson needs a big weekend.
Duke / NC State u11.5 +100 CZR ❌
- Aiden Weaver vs Ryan Mahoron. Wind blowing in. Neither offense has been consistent.
South Carolina / Missouri u12 -115 ✅
- Similar to last night. Amp Phillips has pitched well for SC. SC should have majority of the bullpen available.
Kentucky / Auburn u9.5 -106 FD ❌
- I wish this was 10.5 but wind is blowing in. Andreas Alvarez and Jaxson Jelkin are great Friday arms. Neither offense has been swinging it well and both teams have a rested bullpen.
Southern Miss +115 B365 ✅
- Bad line. DraftKings has -240 USM. I don’t love the spot, but hard to pass that up.
Arizona +255 FD (to win 1u) ✅
- Owen Kramkowski finally found the groove last weekend against Arizona State. TCU is rolling with Trevor Baumler after removing Mason Brassfield from the rotation. TCU is rightfully favored, but I have it around -210 instead of -310.
Louisville + Missouri State -120 B365 ❌
- I have Missouri State closer to -500. Wyatt Danilowicz has been Louisville’s lone bright spot on the mound. Stanford has a tough travel spot and doesn’t have much pitching.
Houston / BYU o10.5 -115 CZR ❌
- Late add. Too low of a number for these two teams in game 2. If they played tomorrow with the same arms this would likely be 12.5. BYU used their bullpen last night.
13-11 (+1.24u)
Pick 3:
Ole Miss -115 ✅
Arkansas +102 ✅
SC / Mizzou u12 -115 ✅

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