Welcome to Regional Weekend, one of the best weekends in all of sports.
DraftKings released totals early for tomorrow’s games so I wanted to get these out before they moved. I will be updating my card here throughout the afternoon. Let’s have a weekend.
There is not a mercy rule in postseason play, so any book should be safe playing the large run lines.
5/29 Plays
Kentucky / Wake Forest u9.5 -113 FD
0.5u: Kentucky / Wake u10.5 -115 CZR
- Chris Levonas vs Jaxon Jelkin will be one of the better pitching matchups of the first round. Jelkin allowed 3 ERs or less in 8 of his 10 SEC starts. Levonas is a top 10 pick for the 2027 draft. He has had a true breakout season for Wake, owning a 2.09 SIERA, 4.02 xFIP, and a 14.5 K/9. I would lean Wake in this game.
Yale / Oregon u11.5 -115 DK
- Jack Ohman will get the ball for Yale. Ohman has had some struggles this season at times, but his stuff+ ranks 12th among D1 pitchers. He is projected to be a first round pick in the 2027 draft. Oregon will go with Cal Scolari, who owns a 2.94 ERA, 2.20 SIERA, and a 14.0 K/9. Neither offense ranks in the top 40 in wRC+. Yale likes to cause havoc on the basepaths, which is good strength to have for an out-matched 4 seed. However, the Ducks have lost
ULL / Cincinnati u11 -120 DK
- Nate Taylor vs Cody Brasch is another great pitching matchup on the schedule for today. Brasch has a 2.04 ERA, 2.87 SIERA, and 9.8 K/9 over 70.2 IP this season. Taylor has a 3.68 ERA, 2.28 SIERA, and a 12.0 K/9 over 84 IP this season. Cincinnati has the better offense, but I believe ULL’s arms can do a good job of limiting the damage.
Cal Poly / Virginia Tech u11.5 -115 DK
- I honestly would not play this at 10.5. When I placed this bet, I had Brett Renfrow starting for Virginia Tech. He did not throw in the ACC tournament and will not be starting this game, which is a huge red flag for the Hokies. I would lean Cal Poly ML.
St John’s +4.5 -130 DK
0.2u: St John’s +380 CZR
- I believe FSU is one of the more vulnerable one seeds. FSU’s OPS has dropped 114 points since Myles Bailey went down with injury. Top reliever, John Abraham left the game against Clemson and has not pitched since. They are expecting him back for Regionals in likely a limited capacity. Wes Mendes will not start this game, which makes this a dangerous game one for the Noles. Liam O’Leary is the projected starter for the Johnnies. He has a 2.97 ERA over an impressive 100 innings pitched this season. St. John’s ran the table in the Big East that included wins over Xavier, UConn, and Creighton. They also competed well with Kentucky in a weekend series earlier in the season.
1.25u: Arizona State / Ole Miss u11 -115 DK
- Hunter Elliot vs Cole Carlon. Two of the best LHPs in college baseball. Both teams will have a fully rested bullpen behind h to em. I lean Ole Miss ML at -115 if you have access to Circa. Carlon will probably go 5-6 innings with 11ks then ASU’s bullpen will collapse.
Georgia -6.5 -110 DK
- Georgia should hang about 20 runs here. LIU’s pitching is one of the worst among teams in the field of 64. Nearly all of their pitching stats rank outside the top 200 in the country. Good luck against this UGA offense. Georgia will throw their number one in Joey Volchko. LIU hasn’t even came close to seeing an arm near Volchko’s caliber.
Georgia Tech -7.5 -115 DK
- Similar to Georgia, I expect Tech to hang a large number today. We all know Tech’s lineup rakes so I really shouldn’t have to go into much detail here.
1.25u: Georgia + USM + Arkansas -111 DK
- Arkansas should continue to stay hot. I know they split with Missouri State during the midweeks, but they did not face Gaeckle or Dietz. Gaeckle will go for Ark and he looked sharp in Hoover.
1.5u: Kansas + Oregon State -106 CZR
- Kansas worries me a little bit, but I’m really not as high on this Northeastern team as their books are. The Huskies lead the country in stolen bases, so Kansas will need to be prepared for them to run. Voegele has finally looked sharp in his last few starts. Kansas is hosting for the first time ever. Beavs should handle Washington State after a week off.
Tennessee -130 (Released on Tuesday)
- The Vols are back. They have been playing much better baseball over the last few weeks compared to earlier in the season. ECU will roll out Ryan Towers, a solid LHP. However, TN has had good success against LHP. Evan Blanco will go for the Vols. Blanco was roughed up by Arkansas in Hoover, but I like him to bounce back here against a ECU offense that is not overpowering.
Jacksonville State -115 (released on Tuesday)
- Virginia has been on a slide, while Jax State has been playing their best baseball. UVA’s Henry Zatkowski is a talented arm that has the potential to shut down this Jax State offense. However, JSU has been phenomenal at winning low-scoring close games. Beau Bryans will go for JSU. He is an Alabama transfer that earned all-conference honors this past season. He has made multiple great starts, including 7 innings of shutout ball against Missouri State.
Oklahoma -150 (released on Tuesday)
- The Citadel is headed into this tournament red hot while OU lost their last 4 SEC series to end the season with a one and done in Hoover. The Citadel played a few close games against Kentucky and Florida State, went 2-0 against SC, and almost beat Georgia in a midweek. They are a good team, but I had this priced around -180 for OU.
Liberty -118 FD
- I believe in these two CUSA teams. Ben Blair will go for Liberty. Blair struggled to end the regular season, but returned to his usual self during the CUSA tournament. Blair has a 2.40 SIERA compared to AJ Colarusso’s 3.84 SIERA. Liberty did a solid job of limiting opponent stolen bases, which is a must against BC, as they ranked 3rd in the CUSA.
NC State -113 FD
- I am not very high on UCF. Elliot Avent is retiring and I believe NC State will play will some more fire this postseason. Ryan Marohn is expected to be available in relief, which is a huge return for a depleted Wolf Pack pitching staff.
VCU +4.5 -120 DK
0.2u: VCU ML +430 FD
- I will bite here. UNC has struggled in these 1vs4 games over the last few seasons. They will save DeCaro for tomorrow and roll out Ryan Lynch today. Lynch is a talented arm, but has been regressing through the season. Patrick Steitz will go for VCU Steitz was a first-team all conference member that owned a 3.01 ERA over 92.2 innings pitched.
NIU / Coastal o11.5 -115 CZR
- Coastal is throwing off with Ross Norman, which is a move I disagree with. I watched NIU’s run through the MAC tournament and this is a solid ball club. NIU doesn’t have anything overpowering. Both teams have a wRC+ over 100 and rank outside the top 60 in xFIP and SIERA. Coastal’s HC Kevin Schnall may have one foot out the door.
USC Upstate / OK State o11.5 -115 CZR
- I love this over. Both offenses have the potential to send this over themselves. Upstate doesn’t have much pitching depth or else I would have taken their ML. Ethan Lund will go for OKST. He is a talented arm, but has struggled with control. Bama is not a deep ballpark.
Tarleton / UCSB o9.5 -128 FD
- Low number with Jackson Flora not syart by for the Gaunchos. Neither pitcher has great advanced numbers. Calvin Proskey returned in April and has only made it to the 6th inning once. Tarleton can hit and they love to cause havoc on the basepaths. I have watched this team a few times this year and they are legit. I would lean Tarleton ML.
Texas A&M -3.5 +105 DK
- Texas A&M’s offense rakes. Oliver is a great pitcher for Lamar, but he has not faced a single lineup near this caliber. Head Coach Will Davis has accepted the Houston job. With the portal opening and Houston facing severe roster turnover, I am willing to bet he has been distracted leading up to this game. A&M won 25-5 against Lamar in a midweek earlier this season.
Texas St / USC u12 +100 CZR
- I like both starters in this game. Ryan Markwardt will go for Texas State. He is a LHP with a 3.68 ERA, 13.2 K/9, 2.75 SIERA, and 4.82 xFIP. Grant Govel will go for USC with a 2.84 ERA, 2.97 SIERA, 4.63 xFIP.
Auburn -6.5 -128 FD
- Milwaukee makes it into the field of 64 after hitting a walkoff HR in the Horizon League Championship game against Wright State. Gavin Theis will throw for Milwaukee. He owns a 5.04 ERA, 6.49 xFIP, and 4.48 SIERA. Theiss was the Horizon League Pitcher of the Year in 2025, but has struggled this season. He also has not faced a team ranked in the top 100 in RPI. Jake Marciano should shove for Auburn. Tigers roll.
Florida -4.5 -105 CZR
- Florida was arguably the hottest team in the country throughout the month of May. The Gators lineup has been smashing, slugging 2.5 HRs per game during the month. PJ Craig will get the ball for Rider after throwing 104 pitches last Thursday followed by 83 on Saturday. He is not overpowering and his advanced numbers are not great, but Rider plays a clean defense behind him. Rider’s only opponent inside the top 100 RPI was St Joe’s, who they went 0-2 against. Gators should roll.
Lipscomb / Mississippi State o12 -115
- I was holding out on this to see if a Mississippi State team total came available. However, it doesn’t look like I will be getting one. If they do eventually come out, I will cash out and play Miss St team total for 1.5u. I believe State sends this over the total themselves. They have already swept Lipscomb once this season, which included a 26-0 beat down in game 3.
Pick 3:
Kansas + Oregon State MLP
USC Upstate / OKST o11.5
NC State ML

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