Welcome to Supers. We have 16 remaining teams left after a crazy regional weekend.

Here are the Super Regional Matchups:

Cal Poly @ West Virginia

USC @ UNC

Little Rock @ Troy

Ole Miss @ Auburn

Mississippi State @ Georgia

Oklahoma @ Kansas

Oregon @ Texas

Saint John’s @ Alabama

8 teams will be packing their bags for Omaha after this weekend.

Plays for 6/5

WVU / Cal Poly u10.5 -110 DK

• These two teams with two of the better pitching staffs in the country. Griffin Naess will get the ball for Poly after looking good in his Regional performance. His stuff+ on his change up was one of the higher graded pitches on the weekend. Naess has been a staple in this Cal Poly rotation over the last few seasons. Reliever Nick Bonn is a finalist for stopper of the year and runs his fastball to the upper 90s. He has a nation-leading 17 saves on the season. WVU will roll with Chansen Cole, who has posted a 2.87 ERA over the course of the season. Cole has a 7 pitch arsenal and loves to mix it up to keep hitters off-balanced. Neither offense hits for a ton of power as both rank outside the top 100 in HRs. Both teams hit for a good average, which puts traffic on the basepaths often. WVU’s bullpen has been iffy at times this season. As we saw in the regional, they really only trust 4 arms. However, I like both of these pitching staffs. Early start time. Cal Poly has likely been in Morgantown for a few days now, but it’s still a 9:00am local time start for them. I would play this to 10. 6-3 WVU

USC / UNC u9.5 -122 FD

• What a performance from USC to make it out of the loser’s bracket after dropping game one. UNC walked through their regional, beating VCU and ECU twice. Mason Edwards will get the ball for USC. Edwards has been one of the top arms in college baseball, posting a 1.85 ERA, 1.51 SIERA, and a 15.9 K/9. Yes, Lamar hit him around a little bit last weekend in College Station. However, he was sitting 30-45 minutes in between innings as USC put up 16 runs in the first 5 innings. I am not putting much into that. UNC will roll out 5 lefties in their lineup, which sets up well for Edwards. Ryan Lynch will get the ball for UNC. Lynch looked great in his regional start against VCU, going 7 innings and allowing only 2 hits. . I was a little surprised to see Lynch get the ball over DeCaro, but once you dig deeper it makes sense. DeCaro has not pitched deep into games this season. Lynch has a better chance of giving 6+ innings, which gives you a big advantage in game one of a three game series. Lynch also grades as an early round draft pick with an elite fastball. Both teams also feature a very good bullpen. My concern here is USC hit the ball well in College Station and UNC’s offense ranks as a top 30 unit in wRC+. Boshsmer Stadium has deep corners, which often favors the arms. USC has had to travel a lot in the last two weeks. From playing the Big Ten tournament in Omaha, to College Station for a regional where they were playing until late Monday Night, to across the country to Chapel Hill for a noon local time first pitch. I would play this to 8.5. UNC 5-2

Little Rock / Troy u11.5 -110 DK

• The super regional matchup that no one expected. One of these teams will have the opportunity to make Omaha for the first time in school history. Troy was one of the final four teams in the field, and now finds themselves hosting a super regional. After losing game one to Miami, Troy battled through the loser’s bracket and managed to take two from a red-hot Florida team. Benjamin Stubbs will get the ball in game one for Troy. Stubbs had a 4 game rough stretch during the season, which inflated his era. He has been solid outside of that, holding Southern Miss and Miami to under 3 earned runs in his last two starts. He also delivered a shutout inning against Florida on Monday. Little Rock will counter with Brannon Westmoreland, who has been a staple in the Friday role all season. Westmoreland will allow hits, but does a great job of limiting damage as he has only allowed more than 4 runs in one start this season. He throws strikes and does not walk batters. Neither offense has a wRC+ ranking inside the top 50. Troy can hit the long ball, but Westmoreland has only allowed 6 HRs in 98 innings pitched. My concern is Troy’s field is a hitter-friendly ballpark with a 1.96 R/G above average. I would play this to 10.5. 6-4 Troy.

I may have a play for Auburn / Ole Miss tonight but I believe the market will move in the opposite direction

FUTURE BETS:

We have a few futures pending this weekend.

0.5u: WVU to make the CWS +450

• Placed before regionals.

0.5u: Ole Miss to make the CWS +550

• Placed before Regionals.

0.25u: Troy to make the CWS +3000

• Placed in the preseason. Can hedge with Little Rock to win the series at +260 on DK

I have released 10 teams to win the CWS since February 4th, 5 are still alive. I am not hedging anything yet but hopefully we can get 4 to Omaha.