+1.7u yesterday.

We are down to the final four teams.

• West Virginia needs to beat UNC twice.
• Georgia needs to beat Oklahoma twice.

Game ones will take place today with the if necessary games scheduled for tomorrow.

West Virginia vs UNC

• WVU had best case scenario yesterday. They jumped out in front early, Montesa went deep, and they saved their better bullpen arms. Chansen Cole will likely get the ball today. Cole struggled in game one against Troy, but owns a 3.14 ERA, 4.77 xFIP, and 2.94 SIERA on the season. He is not the type of arm that is going to blow it past hitters. However, he lives in the bottom of the zone and throws a variety of pitches that keeps hitter’s off-balanced. Did Troy exploit him by sitting dead red in the bottom of the zone? Possibly, but I believe Cole and the pitching staff make the adjustments. If he gets roughed up, WVU will have their top reliever ready to go with Ian Korn. WVU’s offense heated up late yesterday, scoring 10 runs in the final 4 innings with 5 scoring in the 9th to put the nail in the coffin. WVU loves to cause havoc on the base paths. They stole seven bases yesterday and broke a Charles Schwab Field record. UNC is a tough team to steal on. Catcher Colin Hynek gunned Guzman at third in their first matchup. UNC will be starting a LHP that I imagine will be throwing over to first base often.
• After two rest days, UNC will be playing for a win that will send them to the national championship. Folger Boaz will get the ball today for the Heels. Boaz was UNC’s Friday starter in 2024, but has struggled since suffering injuries. Boaz owns a 7.03 ERA, 4.03 SIERA, and 5.97 xFIP with a 3.7 BB/9 and only a 8.5 K/9. Boaz has not thrown since 5/31 in the regional final against ECU. UNC will have a short leash with him as he has only made it through 5 innings 3 times this season. Jackson Rose and Matthew Matthijs will be available in relief. Rose is a freshman that has pitched to a 2.35 ERA this season. Matthijs has experience on the mound in Omaha. He was a third-team All- American in 2024 before suffering an injury in 2025. If it is a close game, I believe UNC will try to get 7 out of these arms before turning it over to freshman stand out Caden Glauber.
• The wind is howling out in Omaha today. However, I believe the books have over adjusted for it. 15.5 is a high total for any games at Charles Schwab. Neither one of these lineups are built for power. I would also lean WVU as I believe they have the advantage on the mound.

My bets:

1.5u: WVU / UNC u15.5 -110 CZR

0.25u: WVU to score first and win +310 DK

I will add more to the total right before first pitch. I am waiting to see if a 16-16.5 becomes available. If Boaz gets knocked around, I will look for a live under. Lean UNC TT u8.5 too

Georgia vs Oklahoma

Write coming later. I will send an update. I have Georgia -1.5 locked.